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Table 8 Results of the Heckman probit selection model for the wet lowland

From: Farmers’ perception of climate change and adaptation strategies in the Dabus watershed, North-West Ethiopia

Explanatory variables

Outcome model

Selection model

Regression

Marginal effect

Regression

Marginal effect

Coefficients

P values

Coefficients

P values

Coefficients

P values

Coefficients

P values

Education of HH head

0.082**

0.022

0.016**

0.012

0.033***

0.003

0.013***

0.002

Household size

0.044**

0.012

0.014 **

0.043

    

HH head sex

0.580**

0.010

0.177**

0.012

    

Farming experience

0.072

0.133

0.023

0.131

    

HH head age

0.138**

0.012

0.012**

0.031

0.015***

0.000

0.008***

0.000

Crop income

0.001

0.142

0.031

0.531

    

Livestock income

0.829***

0.000

0.145***

0.000

    

Non-farm income

0.126**

0.023

0.021**

0.044

    

Extension advice

1.024***

0.000

0.303***

0.000

    

Cultivated land size

− 0.565**

0.034

− 0.009**

0.024

    

Climate information

0.255**

0.021

0.074**

0.023

0.034

0.131

0.031

0.113

Temperature

    

0.168***

0.000

0.044***

0.000

Precipitation

    

− 0.013***

0.000

− 0.03***

0.000

Plots with steep slope

2.62*

0.054

0.263*

0.041

    

Plots with mixed slope

2.62*

0.054

0.263*

0.043

    

Semi-fertile plots

0.056

0.113

0.012

0.110

    

Non-fertile plots

1.21**

0.022

0.066**

0.011

    

Shared out land

− 0.025

0.310

− 0.012

0.310

    

Farm-home distance

− 0.122**

0.011

− 0.033**

0.011

    

Number of parcels

− 0.013**

0.021

− 0.011

0.012

    

Number of crop failures

    

1.418***

0.000

0.278***

0.000

Frequency of drought in 20 years

    

0.255**

0.021

0.074**

0.023

Frequency of drought in 10 years

    

0.83***

0.001

0.212

0.000

Duration of food shortage

    

0.011**

0.028

0.003**

0.035

Past knowledge of adaptation

0.476***

0.002

0.132***

0.001

    

Constant

− 5.945***

0.003

  

− 1.245***

0.000

  

Total observations

371

       

Censored

77

       

Uncensored

294

       

Wald chi-square (zero slopes)

86.84 (P < 0·001)

       

Wald chi square (independent equations)

10.29 (P < 0·001)

       
  1. ***, ** and * indicate significance levels at 1%, 5% and 10%, respectively