Explanatory variables | Outcome model | Selection model | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Regression | Marginal effect | Regression | Marginal effect | |||||
Coefficients | P values | Coefficients | P values | Coefficients | P values | Coefficients | P values | |
Education of HH head | 0.082** | 0.022 | 0.016** | 0.012 | 0.033*** | 0.003 | 0.013*** | 0.002 |
Household size | 0.044** | 0.012 | 0.014 ** | 0.043 | ||||
HH head sex | 0.580** | 0.010 | 0.177** | 0.012 | ||||
Farming experience | 0.072 | 0.133 | 0.023 | 0.131 | ||||
HH head age | 0.138** | 0.012 | 0.012** | 0.031 | 0.015*** | 0.000 | 0.008*** | 0.000 |
Crop income | 0.001 | 0.142 | 0.031 | 0.531 | ||||
Livestock income | 0.829*** | 0.000 | 0.145*** | 0.000 | ||||
Non-farm income | 0.126** | 0.023 | 0.021** | 0.044 | ||||
Extension advice | 1.024*** | 0.000 | 0.303*** | 0.000 | ||||
Cultivated land size | − 0.565** | 0.034 | − 0.009** | 0.024 | ||||
Climate information | 0.255** | 0.021 | 0.074** | 0.023 | 0.034 | 0.131 | 0.031 | 0.113 |
Temperature | 0.168*** | 0.000 | 0.044*** | 0.000 | ||||
Precipitation | − 0.013*** | 0.000 | − 0.03*** | 0.000 | ||||
Plots with steep slope | 2.62* | 0.054 | 0.263* | 0.041 | ||||
Plots with mixed slope | 2.62* | 0.054 | 0.263* | 0.043 | ||||
Semi-fertile plots | 0.056 | 0.113 | 0.012 | 0.110 | ||||
Non-fertile plots | 1.21** | 0.022 | 0.066** | 0.011 | ||||
Shared out land | − 0.025 | 0.310 | − 0.012 | 0.310 | ||||
Farm-home distance | − 0.122** | 0.011 | − 0.033** | 0.011 | ||||
Number of parcels | − 0.013** | 0.021 | − 0.011 | 0.012 | ||||
Number of crop failures | 1.418*** | 0.000 | 0.278*** | 0.000 | ||||
Frequency of drought in 20 years | 0.255** | 0.021 | 0.074** | 0.023 | ||||
Frequency of drought in 10 years | 0.83*** | 0.001 | 0.212 | 0.000 | ||||
Duration of food shortage | 0.011** | 0.028 | 0.003** | 0.035 | ||||
Past knowledge of adaptation | 0.476*** | 0.002 | 0.132*** | 0.001 | ||||
Constant | − 5.945*** | 0.003 | − 1.245*** | 0.000 | ||||
Total observations | 371 | |||||||
Censored | 77 | |||||||
Uncensored | 294 | |||||||
Wald chi-square (zero slopes) | 86.84 (P < 0·001) | |||||||
Wald chi square (independent equations) | 10.29 (P < 0·001) |