Explanatory variables | Outcome model | Selection model | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Regression | Marginal effect | Regression | Marginal effect | |||||
Coefficients | P values | Coefficients | P values | Coefficients | P values | Coefficients | P values | |
Education of HH head | 0.505*** | 0.000 | 0.144*** | 0.000 | 0.272** | 0.014 | 0.070* | 0.049 |
Household size | 0.056*** | 0.000 | 0.023*** | 0.000 | ||||
HH head sex | 0.016*** | 0.000 | 0.002*** | 0.000 | ||||
Farming experience | 0.580** | 0.010 | 0.165** | 0.012 | 0.061** | 0.017 | 0.019** | 0.017 |
HH head age | 0.058* | 0.054 | 0.028* | 0.043 | ||||
Crop income | 1.022*** | 0.003 | 0.319 | 0.003 | ||||
Livestock income | − 0.140** | 0.011 | − 0.042* | 0.013 | ||||
Non-farm income | − 0.565** | 0.034 | − 0.019* | 0.042 | ||||
Extension advice | 0.015 | 0.143 | 0.045 | 0.141 | ||||
Cultivated land size | − 2.70** | 0.037 | 0.044* | 0.041 | ||||
Climate information | 0·203** | 0·011 | 0·057** | 0·023 | 0.155*** | 0.001 | 0.131*** | 0.002 |
Temperature | 0.077 | 0.416 | 0.017 | 0.103 | ||||
Precipitation | − 1.121** | 0.031 | − 0.123** | 0.022 | ||||
Plots with steep slope | 0.543* | 0.050 | 0.021* | 0.056 | ||||
Plots with mixed slope | 0.956 | 0.419 | 0.026 | 0.337 | ||||
Semi-fertile plots | 0.139 | 0.124 | 0.003 | 0.124 | ||||
Non-fertile plots | − 1.50 | 0.204 | − 0.127 | 0.342 | ||||
Shared out land | − 0.54* | 0.071 | − 0.149* | 0.056 | ||||
Farm-home distance | − 2.626* | 0.046 | − 0.263* | 0.051 | ||||
Number of parcels | − 0.053 | 0.310 | − 0.016 | 0.310 | ||||
Number of crop failures | 4.414** | 0.017 | 0.278** | 0.021 | ||||
Frequency of drought in 20 years | 0.238** | 0.014 | 0.227** | 0.034 | ||||
Frequency of drought in 10 years | 0.323** | 0.032 | 0.044** | 0.013 | ||||
Duration of food shortage | 2.634*** | 0.000 | 0.212*** | 0.001 | ||||
Past knowledge of adaptation | 2.662** | 0.000 | 0.289*** | 0.000 | ||||
Constant | − 5.032*** | 0.001 | − 1.133*** | 0.000 | ||||
Total observations | 363 | |||||||
Censored | 75 | |||||||
Uncensored | 288 | |||||||
Wald chi-square (zero slopes) | 88.43, (P < 0.001) | |||||||
Wald chi-square (independent equations) | 10.86 (P < 0.001) |