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Table 2 Change in the predicted distribution of golden jackal, Indian fox, jungle cat, and Asiatic wildcat in and around Bandhavgarh Tiger Reserve, Madhya Pradesh, India under low (RCP 2.6) and high (RCP 8.5) representative concentration pathway scenarios for the years 2050s and 2070s using the model developed by Model for Inter-disciplinary Research on Climate change (MIROC5)

From: Multi-scale habitat selection and impacts of climate change on the distribution of four sympatric meso-carnivores using random forest algorithm

Species

Scenario

Total stable habitat (ha)

Gain (ha)

Gain (%)

Loss (ha)

Loss (%)

Net gain/Loss (ha)

Net gain/Loss (%)

Jackal

Current

39,290.36

      

2050s RCP 2.6

51,262.55

13,865.52

35.29

1893.33

4.82

11,972.19

30.47

2050s RCP 8.5

47,478.25

9409.93

23.95

1222.04

3.11

8187.89

− 7.38

2070s RCP 2.6

41,968.44

5586.23

14.22

2908.15

7.40

2678.08

− 11.60

2070s RCP 8.5

41,968.44

5586.23

14.22

2908.15

7.40

2678.08

0.00

Current

39,211.57

      

Indian Fox

2050s RCP 2.6

43,530.07

4653.36

11.87

334.86

0.85

4318.50

11.01

2050s RCP 8.5

42,095.30

3139.79

8.01

256.07

0.65

2883.73

− 3.30

2070s RCP 2.6

42,149.66

3424.23

8.73

486.14

1.24

2938.09

0.13

2070s RCP 8.5

38,741.98

551.53

1.41

1021.12

2.60

− 469.59

− 8.08

Jungle cat

Current

71,960.76

      

2050s RCP 2.6

80,318.84

14,355.59

19.95

5997.52

8.33

8358.08

11.61

2050s RCP 8.5

88,614.67

19,933.16

27.70

3279.25

4.56

16,653.91

10.33

2070s RCP 2.6

73,828.09

10,725.72

14.90

8858.39

12.31

1867.33

− 16.69

2070s RCP 8.5

77,264.14

12,665.54

17.60

7362.17

10.23

5303.38

4.65

Asiatic wildcat

Current

10,0015.63

      

2050s RCP 2.6

10,6635.59

7945.21

7.94

1325.25

1.33

6619.96

6.62

2050s RCP 8.5

10,4189.15

5034.70

5.03

861.18

0.86

4173.52

− 2.29

2070s RCP 2.6

98,915.71

1448.17

1.45

2548.08

2.55

− 1099.91

− 5.06

2070s RCP 8.5

10,0382.79

2797.06

2.80

2429.89

2.43

367.16

1.48