Spatially explicit statistical modeling of random and systematic land cover transitions in the main grassland plain of Nech Sar National Park, Ethiopia

Ecological Processes

Table 6 Binary logistic regression results for the transitions from woody vegetation-to-grassland and grassland-to-open-overgrazed land

Dependent variable	Model evaluation	Independent variables	ULC (β)	SE (β)	SLC (β*)
WV-GL conversion (1986/2019)	LR X² = 50,739.906	COS_ASP	0.152	0.016	0.949
	(ρ = 0.000)	SIN_ASP	*	*	*
	Nagelkerke R² = 0.585	DIS_RTRA	− 0.001	0.001	− 0.819
	ROC = 0.80	DIS_DRA	− 0.004	0.001	− 5.821
		DIS_WREDG86	− 0.005	0.001	− 6.033
		ELEV	0.218	0.001	0.827
		SLP	− 0.005	0.001	− 0.415
		Intercept	− 0.386	0.003	− 0.08
GL-OL conversion (1986/2019)	LR X² = 3938.224	COS_ASP	0.028	0.001	0.559
	(ρ = 0.000)	SIN_ASP	0.001	0.002	0.124
	Nagelkerke R² = 0.475	DIS_RTRA	− 0.005	0.001	− 5.701
	ROC = 0.690	DIS_DRA	− 0.048	0.000	− 7.969
		ELEV	− 0.003	0.003	− 0.134
		SLP	− 0.017	0.002	− 2.817
		Intercept	− 4.823	0.196	− 0.92

Note: ULC unstandardized logit coefficient, SLC standardized logit coefficient